Former NATO Official Warns of Russia's 360,000-Strong Troop Build-Up Near Europe

Warning Issued by Former NATO Official

A significant military build-up by the Russian Federation along Europe's frontiers has prompted a stark warning from Roderich Kiesewetter, a German parliamentarian and former military officer, who has also been identified as a former NATO official. Kiesewetter cautioned that Russia has amassed over 360,000 troops, specifically between 350,000 to 360,000 combat-ready soldiers, primarily positioned in Belarus. He indicated that 2026 is shaping up to be one of the most 'critical' periods in contemporary European history.

The Kremlin has reportedly announced that over 400,000 fresh recruits have joined the Russian military this year, surpassing the quota set by President Vladimir Putin in January. International defense experts have also voiced concerns regarding 'unprecedentedly intense' winter training drills being conducted by units across Russia in recent weeks.

Strategic Implications and Russian Military Posture

The substantial troop concentration, particularly the two army corps stationed in Belarus, suggests military ambitions that could extend beyond Ukraine, according to Kiesewetter. This development is seen as indicative of potential strategic maneuvers by Vladimir Putin and a transformation of Russia into a war economy.

In September 2025, Russia and Belarus conducted the Zapad-2025 military exercises, which focused on rehearsing the 'unconditional defense' of their Union State against external aggression. These drills, involving extensive troop deployments and strategic missile systems, were viewed by analysts as a powerful signal to NATO and generated considerable alarm among European neighbors.

International Reactions and Counter-Narratives

NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte has consistently stated that the Russian Federation represents the 'most significant, direct and long-term threat' to Euro-Atlantic security. Rutte warned that while NATO's current defenses are robust, Russia, with its economy increasingly dedicated to military production, could be prepared to use military force against NATO within five years.

Conversely, Russian officials have dismissed these warnings. Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov has rejected claims of aggressive intent toward Europe, stating his readiness to provide written guarantees. President Putin has previously suggested that Western politicians use an 'imaginary Russian threat' to divert attention from domestic issues. The Kremlin maintains that Russia poses no threat but will not disregard NATO's activities along its western borders, which it perceives as potentially dangerous to its national interests.

Outlook for European Security

The current military build-up and the differing interpretations of its intent underscore a period of heightened tension in Europe. The warnings from former NATO officials and the ongoing military activities by Russia contribute to a complex and evolving security landscape, with 2026 highlighted as a potentially critical year for the continent.