Engaging with Starmer and Assessing Palestinian Statehood

Prime Minister Anthony Albanese recently communicated that he is in regular contact with UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer, particularly concerning Starmer's decision to acknowledge a Palestinian state. Albanese expressed that they would speak again soon, emphasizing the importance of alignment with Starmer during these significant developments regarding the situation in Gaza, which has raised Albanese's alarm and frustration regarding the actions of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.

Despite the pressures Starmer faces at home—where over 250 British MPs have pushed for immediate Palestinian recognition—Albanese navigates a different landscape in Australia. Former minister Ed Husic is currently the sole Labor MP advocating for immediate recognition, stating that moral momentum should not be disregarded. However, opinions within the Labor caucus suggest general support for eventual recognition, albeit with a preference for a more measured approach rather than immediate action.

Albanese is skilfully managing the internal dynamics of his party by gradually building a case for recognition, criticizing the Israeli government's actions, and simultaneously recognizing the Palestinian Authority's reforms as potential pathways toward peace. He mentioned a statement co-signed by 15 countries, including Australia, which highlighted commitments from Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas that resonated positively with those seeking to resolve the conflict.

Yet, questions remain about Abbas’s legitimacy to represent the Palestinian people, given his lengthy tenure and waning popularity. Albanese seems hopeful that moments of crisis can lead to opportunities for progress, although skepticism exists about the feasibility of achieving a two-state solution, particularly after a recent poll revealed a decreasing belief among Israelis in peaceful coexistence.

The US stance against recognizing a Palestinian state complicates matters, with former President Trump conveying reservations about rewarding Hamas despite not criticizing Starmer's decision. Nevertheless, Australia may find it easier to follow the UK and France's lead without inciting significant backlash from the US, indicating a potential shift in diplomatic strategy, though assurances regarding Israeli security and Hamas's role in Gaza are paramount for Albanese moving forward.